UFC 139: Does the Shogun v Hendo Winner Deserve a Title Shot?
It seems strange somehow to begin a discussion about the UFC Light-Heavyweight championship without mentioning the words “Jon Jones” or “Rashad Evans” or even, in light of recent news, “Lyoto Machida”.
Yes, there are a great many people “in the mix”, to use Danaspeak, for the UFC’s marquee strap. Amid the seemingly endless Jones/Evans “will they fight, won’t they fight” narrative and the recent announcement that Lyoto Machida will be getting the next shot (so apparently it’s “they won’t fight…yet”), the casual fan would be forgiven for forgetting “Shogun” Rua and Dan Henderson are even fighting, let alone in striking distance of a title shot themselves.
A month before Machida and Jones square off in Toronto, these two Pride legends will face each other in the main event of UFC 139 in San Jose. It’s the kind of matchup that got fans excited when it was first announced. Both men are known knockout artists with a litany of scalps between them. Both men are fan favorites with long histories in the sport. Both men are former champions and the definition of “world class”.
But before the Machida/Jones announcement, the general consensus regarding this fight was that the winner would be getting the next title shot.
Now, it’s not so certain.
Dan Henderson certainly hopes this fight launches him into a title situation. That’s the fight he originally wanted, after all, as the reigning Strikeforce LHW champion. It’s the fight that seemed somewhat close to happening before the aforementioned Jones/Evans drama managed to (once again) hold up the top of the division.
Henderson’s campaign for a title shot is not without merit. After all, other Strikeforce champions have been brought over and given a title shot based solely on the Strikeforce belt over their shoulders. Two Strikeforce champions received instant title shots against GSP immediately upon “crossing over”.
Of course, one of said champions then blows it all by failing to show up to a press conference, while the other tries to skewer George’s face like he was making an eyeball-thumb kabob, but the principal remains the same.
Then you have Alistair Overeem, the Strikeforce heavyweight champ who would probably have gotten a title shot in his UFC debut if it weren’t for the fact that Overeem/Dos Santos is the fight the UFC chose to go with for their FOX debut. As it is, a marquee matchup with top PPV draw Brock Lesnar may be even more beneficial to The Reem’s career.
Then there’s talk that Strikeforce LW champ Gilbert Melendez might get an instant title shot if (when) he crosses over to the UFC. Plus you have all the rumors surrounding a potential Dominick Cruz vs. Christiane “Cyborg” Santos superfight.
Ok, I just made that up, but tell me that wouldn’t be a little bit fun. And hey, if Dominick keeps running through challengers at 135 lbs, who else are they going to throw in there with him (answer: Kenny Florian with one leg cut off).
Ok, so Dan’s got a case for a title shot – but what about “Shogun”? Well, let’s not forget that he was the reigning champion only a few months ago, before Jon Jones ascended to the top of the division and exploded everyone’s faces.
And sure, Jones made Rua look awfully bad when he took the title from him back in March, but was it really a bad enough beating to keep him from another title shot, as it would if it happened in another division (or is Fitch/GSP II happening and I haven’t heard about it?).
I say no. Plus if Jones should run through Machida and Evans, than we’re looking at a suddenly shallow list of Light-Heavyweight title contenders. “Shogun” could definitely receive another shot in that situation.
So, will the winner of Rua vs. Hendo being getting a title shot? My answer is “eventually”. With Machida/Jones already booked, and Evans waiting seemingly since Biblical times for his title shot, there’s really no argument for Hendo or “Shogun” to cut in line with a win.
Still, a win here guarantees that the winner will probably be getting a title shot at some point. In today’s UFC LHW division, that’s about as much certainty as you’re going to get.
Unless, of course Rashad gets injured again – or the invincible Jones should happen to lose. Either situation could see the winner of Rua/henderson get fast-tracked to a title shot ASAP.