Top MMA News UFC 132: Cruz vs. Faber Breakdown
Main event fights will be aired via PPV and the televised portion of the prelim card will be aired in Canada on Spike TV and in HD on Rogers Sportsnet. The unaired prelims will be available in their entirety live on Facebook.
Here is the Top MMA News breakdown:
Dominick Cruz (-145) vs. Urijah Faber (+105)
I’m predicting that this will be a coming out party of sorts for current UFC Bantamweight Champion Dominick Cruz. When these two fighters last met at WEC 26 back in March of 2007, Urijah walked away with a submission victory early in the first round. In that fight, Dominick demonstrated better movement on his feet, faster hands and superior wrestling. After Dominick took Urijah down and secured side control, Urijah recovered guard and secured a guillotine from the bottom. This time around I suspect Dominick will at least wait until both fighters have started sweating before taking Urijah down. I think Urijah will likely still have the superior submissions game but that the chances of him catching Dominick twice are extremely low.
Both fighters have a lot to lose in this fight so don’t expect a barn burner. Keep in mind that Urijah lost his Featherweight belt back in 2008. This is his third title shot in seven fights since then. If Urijah loses again he will have run out of weight divisions where name recognition will earn him title shots without the onerous task of putting together a massive win streak. Dominick has never fought in the big show before so if he loses he may end up fighting in the prelims for years before earning another spot on the main card of a UFC pay per view event.
Cruz has the speed and strength needed to finish this fight by TKO but after watching Urijah survive five rounds with José Aldo, I’m predicting this fight will go to a decision.
Prediction: Dominick Cruz by Unanimous Decision
Wanderlei Silva (-189) vs. Chris Leben(+137)
Call me a cynic but doesn’t it seem that whenever two brawlers face off in the octagon lately the option of “surprising” their opponent and the audience with relentless takedown attempts and cage pinning is just too tempting to resist. I’m going with Leben via octagon control.
If I am wrong and these fighter do decide to slug it out, I’d have to give the edge to Wanderlei.
Prediction: Chris Leben by Unanimous Decision
Tito Ortiz (+330) vs. Ryan Bader (-556)
In this fight Tito has nothing to lose and everything to gain. Despite not defeating a single opponent in nearly five years, Ortiz has actually proven to be a very game competitor in the octagon against the top echelon of fighters in the Light-Heavyweight division.
Ryan Bader has all the tools needed to win this fight but we don’t know how he will respond coming off the first loss of his career to Jon Jones. He might bounce back like a champion full of confidence but he also might second guess his training methodology or even worse his game plan during the fight if things don’t go his way initially.
I’m really excited about this fight.
Prediction: Tito Ortiz by Split Decision
Carlos Condit (-115) vs. Don Hyun Kim (-120)
I think for Kim to win this fight he needs to dominate Condit with his wrestling for the first two rounds and hang on during the third to win the decision. Don Hyun looked great in his bout against Nate Diaz because wrestling has always been Nate’s Achilles Heel. I don’t think this match up is as tailor made for showcasing Kim’s strengths as his last one was.
Condit’s come from behind performances against Rory MacDonald and Jake Ellenberger were remarkable to say the least. If Carlos can push the pace and find himself in the third round with his opponent exhausted, I see him finishing Don Hyun with strikes.
Prediction: Carlos Condit via Third Round TKO
Dennis Siver vs. Matt Wiman
In Wiman’s last fight against Cole Miller, his aggression and tenacity were off the charts. When he did take Miller down, he punished Cole with insanely viscous ground and pound. At UFC 127 back in February, Siver showcased his competent takedown defence and disciplined striking against, the then top contender, George Sotiropoulos walking away with a victory despite being considered an underdog by many, including myself.
I don’t think Siver’s takedown defence is good enough to shut down Wiman’s takedowns once Matt shifts into high gear. I think this will be a back and forth bloody war with Wiman’s takedowns being the difference in this fight.
Prediction: Matt Wiman by Unanimous Decision