Top MMA News Breaks Down UFC 107
UFC 107 is one of the deepest UFC cards in recent memory. Mike Muise breaks down the card for Top MMA News readers. Look for Mike to become a regular contributor to Top MMA News. On to the breakdown….
Memphis, Tennessee will be the stage for Bj Penn’s possible three-peat title defense as he headlines UFC 107 facing off against a hungry and talented Diego Sanchez. Having fought for 44 minutes and 7 seconds in his last three fights, there is no doubt when it comes to The Nightmare’s cardio capability. Having earned the judges nod over Stevenson and Guida, Sanchez holds one attribute over the often questioned fitness level of the current champ in Penn. As for BJ, he continues to plead his case that he feels fit and in great shape despite his “softer” appearance. Stepping into the octagon on Saturday, the Prodigy will undoubtedly have a better all around game advantage while sacrificing only the aforementioned staying power to the younger Sanchez. This bout will test Diego’s ability to pace himself as far as his aggressiveness is concerned as Penn is a technical striker with cobra like patience. Having said he is enjoying fighting again, Penn has the desire to win and with that it can be expected he will remain on top of the Lightweight division for quite some time.
Prediction: Penn via TKO late Round 3. Bj will utilize his superior jiu jistu to neutralize the ferocious attack from Sanchez ultimately gaining dominant position to trap and defeat Sanchez.
Frank Mir vs Cheick Kongo
The co-main event of the evening embodies the roots of MMA with the striker vs grappler scenario being tested once again. The sheer strength of Kongo is enough to intimidate most people, pair that with a lengthy kickboxing history and you have a very serious standup fighter. Fortunately for Mir, you also get a limited ground fighter. As a Brazilian Jiu Jitsu black belt, Frank Mir has the upper hand when the fight hits the mat. Unlike the French knockout artist, Mir is not limited to his favored style giving him a great advantage. Mir will look to exploit Kongo’s wrestling and grappling weakness and stop Cheick’s second attempt to climb the Heavyweight ranks.
Prediction: Mir via Submission Round 1. I would imagine Frank will not want to let this fight continue too far thereby increasing Kongo’s chance to catch him with a powerful shot. Look for a quick takedown followed by distraction ground and pound to create an opening for a limb attack.
Jon Fitch vs Mike Pierce
Jon Fitch is always an exciting fighter, that being said some may not believe the statement come Saturday night. In what was shaping up to be a highly touted match up against Thiago Alves, Fitch’s opponent has been swapped for a successful college wrestler in Mike Pierce. In a recurring trend we have seen some slow matches due to a possible reluctance to give up position or maybe just a lack of knowledge on how to apply techniques outside of a fighter’s comfort zone. Should this match leave the feet it can not be over looked that Pierce will attempt to hold Jon enough to land some power shots for the hail mary finish. With such a well rounded game, Fitch should be able to dominate the strikes and finish early.
Prediction: Jon Fitch via KO round 1. Quick feet and quicker hands will be key for Fitch to eliminate Pierce’s takedown attempts and allow for a well timed combo to end the night early.
Ken Florian vs Clay Guida
Having recently made the move to Tristar gym in Montreal, Ken Flo could be redefining his image by tweaking the already impeccable talent and skill set he used to skyrocket to the forefront of the 155lbs order. This fight pits two of the next best athletes in the Lightweight division. Guida’s ability to push the pace and continue driving will be the biggest threat to Florian’s methodical attitude. Timing and counter attacking has always proved valuable to Kenny and could be difficult given that Guida is about as predictable as the Tazmanian Devil. In another tilt that sees one opponent being tremendously well rounded versus another who has such strength in one area, fans can count on Ken Flo minimizing the contact on the feet which will force The Carpenter to dig deep and translate his toe to toe brand of domination into a ground and pound deconstruction.
Prediction: Florian via Submission Round 2. The first 5 minutes of this battle will be just that – an outright war with neither fighter giving an inch. Once the pace has been set and Kenny can execute an early takedown in the second round, watch the experience advantage take over and see Guida drop to 25 and 8.